Queen of South vs Montrose Prediction— Scotland - League One

Scotland - League One Regular Season - 35 Palmerston Park· Dumfries Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Queen of South PPG 1.71

2-2 MISS

Montrose PPG 0.88

Over3.5· +20.9% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Queen of South face Montrose in Scotland - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queen of South a 72% chance, the draw 16% and Montrose 12%, so Queen of South are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Queen of South and 1.0 for Montrose (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queen of South are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.88 for Montrose. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.9%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 72.0%

Odds: 1.50 EV: +8.0%

Draw 15.7%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -34.1%

Away 12.3%

Odds: 5.25 EV: -35.4%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.7% Odds: 1.55 +11.1%

Over 3.5 50.8% Odds: 2.38 +20.9%

BTTS 60.2% Odds: 1.62 -2.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 3-1 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Queen of South

2.67

Montrose

1.04

Model SuggestionHome +8.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+20.9%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.71), Away POOR (0.88) - Strong consensus