Slough Town vs Dagenham e R. Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South South - 46 Arbour Park· Slough Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Slough Town PPG 1.32

3-2 MISS

Dagenham e R. PPG 1.18

Home· +15.4% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Slough Town face Dagenham e R. in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slough Town a 44% chance, the draw 23% and Dagenham e R. 33%, so Slough Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Slough Town and 1.5 for Dagenham e R. (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slough Town are averaging 1.32 points per game versus 1.18 for Dagenham e R.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.4%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.4%

Odds: 2.60 EV: +15.4%

Draw 22.9%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -21.0%

Away 32.8%

Odds: 2.33 EV: -23.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.7% Odds: 1.53 -2.5%

Over 3.5 41.6% Odds: 2.30 -4.3%

BTTS 64.7% Odds: 1.42 -8.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Slough Town

1.78

Dagenham e R.

1.50

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+15.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 26.0%

Bet Hit 73% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.32), Away AVERAGE (1.18)