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Hampton e R. vs Enfield Town Prediction— England - National League - South

South - 46 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Hampton e R.

PPG 1.18 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Enfield Town

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.1% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-14.7%0-22.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.3%1-19.6%1-25.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.5%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.8%3-16.7%3-23.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-15.5%4+-23.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% 59.5% 1.68 -2.6%

Draw 21.1% 27.0% 3.70 -21.9%

Away win 20.9% 23.1% 4.33 -9.5%

Over 2.5 62.1% 61.7% 1.62 +0.6%

Over 3.5 39.8% 40.0% 2.50 -0.5%

BTTS 59.7% 63.7% 1.57 -6.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 58% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.8%

#2 1–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.5%

#4 1–0✓ 8.3%

#5 3–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hampton e R.2.0

Enfield Town1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HAMPTON E R. · PPG 1.18

ENFIELD TOWN · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.18) > Away POOR (0.55)

Win probability 1X2

Hampton e R. (H) 58.0%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -2.6%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -21.9%

Enfield Town (A) 20.9%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -9.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hampton e R. face Enfield Town in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hampton e R. a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Enfield Town 21%, so Hampton e R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Hampton e R. and 1.2 for Enfield Town (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hampton e R. are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 0.55 for Enfield Town. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +0.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Hampton e R. vs Enfield Town Prediction— England - National League - South

Match Preview & Prediction

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