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Chelmsford City vs Eastbourne Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South logo England flag England - National League - South South - 46 Melbourne Stadium· Chelmsford, Essex Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30
Chelmsford City logo Chelmsford City PPG 1.73
1-3 MISS
Eastbourne logo Eastbourne PPG 0.77
Over3.5· +9.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chelmsford City face Eastbourne in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chelmsford City a 77% chance, the draw 13% and Eastbourne 9%, so Chelmsford City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Chelmsford City and 1.0 for Eastbourne (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chelmsford City are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.77 for Eastbourne. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +9.4%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.2%
Odds: 1.35 EV: +4.2%
Draw 13.4%
Odds: 4.80 EV: -35.7%
Away 9.4%
Odds: 6.75 EV: -36.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 74.7% Odds: 1.40 +4.6%
Over 3.5 54.7% Odds: 2.00 +9.4%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.57 -7.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-1
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Chelmsford City
2.93
Eastbourne
0.97

Model Suggestion

Home +4.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+9.4%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.73), Away POOR (0.77) - Strong consensus

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