Bath City vs Maidstone Utd Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South South - 46 Twerton Park· Bath Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Bath City PPG 1.14

2-3 MISS

Maidstone Utd PPG 1.27

Home· +70.2% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bath City face Maidstone Utd in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bath City a 27% chance, the draw 26% and Maidstone Utd 47%, so Maidstone Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Bath City and 1.5 for Maidstone Utd (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bath City are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.27 for Maidstone Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +70.2%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.6%

Odds: 6.40 EV: +70.2%

Draw 26.1%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +7.0%

Away 47.3%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -31.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.70 -21.5%

Over 3.5 24.7% Odds: 2.75 -32.1%

BTTS 50.0% Odds: 1.83 -8.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bath City

1.04

Maidstone Utd

1.48

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+70.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 26.0%

Bet Hit 73% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.27)