Hereford Utd vs Peterborough S. Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 46 Edgar Street· Hereford Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Hereford Utd PPG 1.36

2-2 MISS

Peterborough S. PPG 0.64

Away· +45.1% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hereford Utd face Peterborough S. in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hereford Utd a 64% chance, the draw 19% and Peterborough S. 18%, so Hereford Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Hereford Utd and 1.2 for Peterborough S. (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hereford Utd are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.64 for Peterborough S.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +45.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.6%

Odds: 1.30 EV: -17.3%

Draw 18.7%

Odds: 4.80 EV: -10.2%

Away 17.7%

Odds: 8.20 EV: +45.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.5% Odds: 1.45 -0.7%

Over 3.5 47.1% Odds: 2.15 +1.3%

BTTS 62.6% Odds: 1.67 +4.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hereford Utd

2.36

Peterborough S.

1.18

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 66%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 5.4%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

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Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.36) > Away POOR (0.64)