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Radcliffe vs Macclesfield Prediction— England - National League - North

North - 46 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Radcliffe

PPG 1.32 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Macclesfield

PPG 1.68 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 77.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a clear edge.

+15.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.7%0-24.1%0-32.9%0-4+2.6%1 1-03.3%1-17.1%1-27.7%1-35.6%1-4+5.0%2 2-03.1%2-16.7%2-27.3%2-35.3%2-4+4.7%3 3-01.9%3-14.2%3-24.6%3-33.3%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-13.1%4+-23.3%4+-32.4%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% 30.3% 3.30 +13.9%

Draw 20.4% 27.4% 3.65 -25.5%

Away win 45.2% 52.4% 1.91 -13.7%

Over 2.5 77.1% 66.7% 1.50 +15.7%

Over 3.5 57.9% 43.5% 2.30 +33.2%

BTTS 75.2% 69.4% 1.44 +8.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.5%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob75.2%

A 45% / xG 1.9-2.2 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.7%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 1–1 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radcliffe1.9

Macclesfield2.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.1% · O3.5 PROB 57.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RADCLIFFE · PPG 1.32

MACCLESFIELD · PPG 1.68

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.32) vs Away GOOD (1.68)

Win probability 1X2

Radcliffe (H) 34.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +13.9%

Draw 20.4%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -25.5%

Macclesfield (A) 45.2%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -13.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radcliffe face Macclesfield in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radcliffe a 35% chance, the draw 20% and Macclesfield 45%, so Macclesfield are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Radcliffe and 2.2 for Macclesfield (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radcliffe are averaging 1.32 points per game versus 1.68 for Macclesfield. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +33.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Radcliffe vs Macclesfield Prediction— England - National League - North

Match Preview & Prediction

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