Bedford Town vs Scarborough Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 46 The New Eyrie· Cardington, Bedfordshire Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Bedford Town PPG 1.32

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Scarborough PPG 1.50

Away· +7.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bedford Town face Scarborough in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bedford Town a 34% chance, the draw 25% and Scarborough 41%, so Scarborough are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bedford Town and 1.5 for Scarborough (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bedford Town are averaging 1.32 points per game versus 1.50 for Scarborough. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.6%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +0.8%

Draw 25.2%

Odds: 2.60 EV: -34.5%

Away 41.2%

Odds: 2.62 EV: +7.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.85 -1.8%

Over 3.5 30.8% Odds: 2.88 -11.3%

BTTS 56.6% Odds: 1.55 -12.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bedford Town

1.32

Scarborough

1.48

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.32), Away GOOD (1.50)