Chorley vs Worksop Town Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 46 Victory Park· Chorley Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Chorley PPG 1.59

2-1 HIT CS2

Worksop Town PPG 1.14

Over3.5· +14.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chorley face Worksop Town in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chorley a 51% chance, the draw 23% and Worksop Town 26%, so Chorley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Chorley and 1.2 for Worksop Town (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chorley are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.14 for Worksop Town. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.8%

Odds: 2.00 EV: +1.6%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -19.1%

Away 26.1%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -16.5%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.2% Odds: 1.85 +7.7%

Over 3.5 35.8% Odds: 3.20 +14.6%

BTTS 59.0% Odds: 1.70 +0.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chorley

1.80

Worksop Town

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS +0.3% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+14.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 66%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 5.4%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)