Carlisle Utd PPG 2.14
Brackley Town PPG 0.64Carlisle Utd face Brackley Town in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Carlisle Utd a 80% chance, the draw 13% and Brackley Town 7%, so Carlisle Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Carlisle Utd and 0.6 for Brackley Town (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Carlisle Utd are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.64 for Brackley Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.4%. This match finished 3-0.
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.14), Away POOR (0.64) - Strong consensus