Tamworth vs Braintree Town Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 46 The Lamb Ground· Tamworth Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Tamworth PPG 1.59

5-1 MISS

Braintree Town PPG 0.64

Home· +2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tamworth face Braintree Town in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tamworth a 61% chance, the draw 23% and Braintree Town 16%, so Tamworth are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Tamworth and 0.8 for Braintree Town (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tamworth are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 0.64 for Braintree Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.0%. This match finished 5-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.1%

Odds: 1.67 EV: +2.0%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -12.2%

Away 15.8%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -33.6%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.50 -31.3%

Over 3.5 24.4% Odds: 2.20 -46.3%

BTTS 43.9% Odds: 1.48 -35.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Tamworth

1.75

Braintree Town

0.76

Model SuggestionHome +2.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.59) vs P(Home)=61.1%