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Southend Utd vs Wealdstone Prediction— England - National League

England - National League logo England flag England - National League Regular Season - 46 Roots Hall· Southend on Sea Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30
Southend Utd logo Southend Utd PPG 1.95
2-1 HIT CS2
Wealdstone logo Wealdstone PPG 0.77
Home· +6.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Southend Utd face Wealdstone in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Southend Utd a 72% chance, the draw 17% and Wealdstone 12%, so Southend Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Southend Utd and 0.9 for Wealdstone (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Southend Utd are averaging 1.95 points per game versus 0.77 for Wealdstone. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.6%
Odds: 1.48 EV: +6.0%
Draw 16.8%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -32.8%
Away 11.6%
Odds: 5.80 EV: -32.7%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.7% Odds: 1.50 -4.5%
Over 3.5 41.6% Odds: 2.20 -8.5%
BTTS 52.7% Odds: 1.57 -17.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Southend Utd
2.42
Wealdstone
0.87

Model Suggestion

Home +6.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.95), Away POOR (0.77) - Strong consensus

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