Boston Utd vs Hartlepool Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 46 Jakemans Community Stadium· Boston Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Boston Utd PPG 1.09

3-1 MISS

Hartlepool PPG 1.41

Away· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Boston Utd face Hartlepool in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boston Utd a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Hartlepool 31%, so Boston Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Boston Utd and 1.1 for Hartlepool (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boston Utd are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.41 for Hartlepool. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.5%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -14.9%

Draw 27.5%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -7.9%

Away 31.0%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +0.8%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.9% Odds: 1.75 -24.9%

Over 3.5 22.0% Odds: 2.80 -38.4%

BTTS 48.4% Odds: 1.57 -24.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Boston Utd

1.31

Hartlepool

1.09

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 37%

BTTS/No 44%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 14.3%

Bet Hit 67% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.09) vs Away AVERAGE (1.41)