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Scunthorpe vs Eastleigh Prediction— England - National League

England - National League logo England flag England - National League Regular Season - 46 Attis Arena· Scunthorpe Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30
Scunthorpe logo Scunthorpe PPG 1.91
0-1 MISS
Eastleigh logo Eastleigh PPG 0.91
Home· +21.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Scunthorpe face Eastleigh in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Scunthorpe a 69% chance, the draw 17% and Eastleigh 14%, so Scunthorpe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Scunthorpe and 1.0 for Eastleigh (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Scunthorpe are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 0.91 for Eastleigh. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.9%
Odds: 1.77 EV: +21.9%
Draw 17.3%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -38.6%
Away 13.8%
Odds: 3.95 EV: -45.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 67.4% Odds: 1.57 +5.8%
Over 3.5 45.8% Odds: 2.38 +9.0%
BTTS 58.4% Odds: 1.50 -12.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 3-1
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Scunthorpe
2.46
Eastleigh
1.02

Model Suggestion

Home +21.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.91), Away POOR (0.91) - Strong consensus

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