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Altrincham vs Gateshead FC Prediction— England - National League

England - National League logo England flag England - National League Regular Season - 46 Moss Lane· Altrincham Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30
Altrincham logo Altrincham PPG 1.68
3-1 HIT CS5
Gateshead FC logo Gateshead FC PPG 1.27
Home· +24.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Altrincham face Gateshead FC in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Altrincham a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Gateshead FC 21%, so Altrincham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Altrincham and 1.0 for Gateshead FC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Altrincham are averaging 1.68 points per game versus 1.27 for Gateshead FC. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +24.1%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.4%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +24.1%
Draw 22.5%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -21.3%
Away 21.0%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -41.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.7% Odds: 1.53 -14.8%
Over 3.5 33.3% Odds: 2.30 -23.4%
BTTS 54.9% Odds: 1.42 -22.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Altrincham
1.86
Gateshead FC
1.05

Model Suggestion

Home +24.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 37%
BTTS/No 44%
Score Hit 48%
ROI 14.3%
Bet Hit 67% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.68) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

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