Forest Green vs Morecambe Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 46 The New Lawn· Nailsworth Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Forest Green PPG 2.14

5-0 MISS

Morecambe PPG 0.91

Over3.5· +12.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Forest Green face Morecambe in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Forest Green a 79% chance, the draw 12% and Morecambe 9%, so Forest Green are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Forest Green and 1.1 for Morecambe (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Forest Green are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.91 for Morecambe. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.2%. This match finished 5-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 78.7%

Odds: 1.33 EV: +4.7%

Draw 12.3%

Odds: 5.00 EV: -38.5%

Away 9.0%

Odds: 7.20 EV: -35.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 79.6% Odds: 1.33 +5.9%

Over 3.5 61.3% Odds: 1.83 +12.2%

BTTS 62.7% Odds: 1.50 -5.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 4-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Forest Green

3.19

Morecambe

1.06

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +5.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+12.2%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 37%

BTTS/No 44%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 14.3%

Bet Hit 67% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.14), Away POOR (0.91) - Strong consensus