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Boreham Wood vs Sutton Utd Prediction— England - National League

England - National League logo England flag England - National League Regular Season - 46 Meadow Park· Borehamwood Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30
Boreham Wood logo Boreham Wood PPG 2.27
1-0 MISS
Sutton Utd logo Sutton Utd PPG 1.00
Home· +10.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Boreham Wood face Sutton Utd in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boreham Wood a 77% chance, the draw 13% and Sutton Utd 10%, so Boreham Wood are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Boreham Wood and 1.0 for Sutton Utd (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boreham Wood are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.00 for Sutton Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.7%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 76.9%
Odds: 1.44 EV: +10.7%
Draw 13.4%
Odds: 4.50 EV: -39.7%
Away 9.7%
Odds: 5.60 EV: -45.7%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.8% Odds: 1.35 +2.3%
Over 3.5 56.1% Odds: 1.85 +3.8%
BTTS 60.2% Odds: 1.42 -14.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 3-1
4th 3-0
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Boreham Wood
2.96
Sutton Utd
1.01

Model Suggestion

Home +10.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.27), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

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