Leagues / SWITZERLAND / 1. Liga Promotion
1. Liga Promotion
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 99 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
48.5%
1X2
48/99
71.7%
O/U 2.5
71/99
64.6%
BTTS
64/99
33.3%
Exact score
33/99
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
24
Settled
75.0%
Hit rate
18/24
1.45
Avg odds
+9.3%
ROI
+2.2u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=18 72.2% HIT · AVG 1.40 · +1.1% ROI
OVER 3.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.56 · +56.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · +43.5% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.05 · +105.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.55 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+40.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
8
Bets
75%
Hit
+1.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
8
Bets
63%
Hit
+0.6%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
7
Bets
86%
Hit
+24.4%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 9 HIT · 6 MISS
30 AUG Young Boys II vs Luzern II Over 2.5 2–2 HIT30 AUG Bulle vs Biel-Bienne Over 2.5 1–1 MISS30 AUG Zürich II vs FC Schaffhausen BTTS 3–1 HIT29 AUG Grand-Saconnex vs Paradiso Over 2.5 2–5 HIT29 AUG Kreuzlingen vs Breitenrain Over 2.5 1–0 MISS29 AUG Lugano II vs Bavois Over 2.5 -9% 3–2 HIT26 AUG Bulle vs Young Boys II Over 2.5 +8% 3–0 HIT23 AUG Biel-Bienne vs Lugano II HO1.5 5–2 HIT22 AUG Luzern II vs Bulle Over 2.5 -8% 2–3 HIT22 AUG Basel II vs Zürich II Over 2.5 2–3 HIT22 AUG Bavois vs Brühl BTTS -17% 0–0 MISS22 AUG Cham vs Grand-Saconnex Over 2.5 -10% 2–1 HIT22 AUG Paradiso vs Kreuzlingen Over 2.5 +1% 1–1 MISS19 AUG Brühl vs Biel-Bienne HO1.5 0–1 MISS19 AUG Grand-Saconnex vs FC Schaffhausen HO1.5 1–4 MISS