Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion / Kreuzlingen vs Breitenrain

Kreuzlingen vs Breitenrain Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Kreuzlingen
PPG 1.38 · HOME
LAST 5
WLLDW
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Breitenrain
PPG 1.13 · AWAY
LAST 5
LDWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.6%0-24.1%0-32.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.8%1-110.1%1-27.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.7%3-15.4%3-24.0%3-32.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.6%4+-22.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.7%
Draw 22.6%
Away win 34.7%
Over 2.5 63.1%
Over 3.5 39.3%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5 48.9%
Away O1.5 40.9%

League track record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5 72%
BTTS 65%
Score Hit 33%
ROI 9.3%
Bet Hit 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 1–2 7.4%
#4 2–0 6.1%
#5 2–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kreuzlingen1.8
Breitenrain1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KREUZLINGEN · PPG 1.38

BREITENRAIN · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kreuzlingen (H) 42.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Breitenrain (A) 34.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kreuzlingen face Breitenrain in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kreuzlingen a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Breitenrain 35%, so Kreuzlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kreuzlingen and 1.5 for Breitenrain (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kreuzlingen are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.13 for Breitenrain. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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