Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion / Cham vs Grand-Saconnex

Cham vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Cham

PPG 1.60 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWD

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Grand-Saconnex

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.3% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.3%0-23.5%0-31.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-05.2%1-18.6%1-27.1%1-33.9%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.2%2-18.6%2-27.1%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.5%3-15.7%3-24.7%3-32.6%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.6%4+-23.8%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 51.3% 1.95 -13.6%

Draw 21.8% 28.6% 3.50 -14.2%

Away win 34.0% 32.3% 3.10 +5.4%

Over 2.5 67.3% 75.2% 1.33 -10.5%

Over 3.5 43.5% 53.2% 1.88 -18.2%

BTTS 63.2% 73.5% 1.36 -14.1%

Home O1.5 55.6% 65.4% 1.53 -14.9%

Away O1.5 48.5% 50.5% 1.98 -4.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.2%

H 44% / xG 2.0-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1✓ 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cham2.0

Grand-Saconnex1.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CHAM · PPG 1.60

GRAND-SACONNEX · PPG 1.45

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cham (H) 44.3%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -13.6%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -14.2%

Grand-Saconnex (A) 34.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +5.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cham face Grand-Saconnex in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cham a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Grand-Saconnex 34%, so Cham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Cham and 1.6 for Grand-Saconnex (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cham are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.45 for Grand-Saconnex. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +0.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Cham vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

More Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Predictions