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Grand-Saconnex vs Paradiso Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:30

Grand-Saconnex

PPG 1.54 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLL

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Paradiso

PPG 1.41 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.5%0-22.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.8%1-18.1%1-25.6%1-32.6%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.6%2-19.2%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.1%3-17.0%3-24.9%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-16.8%4+-24.7%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.8% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 28.0% — — —

Over 2.5 65.1% — — —

Over 3.5 44.6% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 5.6%

#4 3–1 7.0%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grand-Saconnex2.3

Paradiso1.4

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GRAND-SACONNEX · PPG 1.54

PARADISO · PPG 1.41

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Grand-Saconnex (H) 50.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Paradiso (A) 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grand-Saconnex face Paradiso in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grand-Saconnex a 51% chance, the draw 21% and Paradiso 28%, so Grand-Saconnex are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Grand-Saconnex and 1.4 for Paradiso (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grand-Saconnex are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.41 for Paradiso. This match finished 2-5.

Grand-Saconnex vs Paradiso Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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