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Bulle vs Young Boys II Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 17:30

Bulle

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWD

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Young Boys II

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 83.1% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.8%0-20.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-01.5%1-12.9%1-22.8%1-31.8%1-4+1.3%2 2-02.7%2-15.2%2-24.9%2-33.1%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.2%3-16.1%3-25.8%3-33.7%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-113.3%4+-212.7%4+-38.1%4+-4+6.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.5% 58.8% 1.70 +8.0%

Draw 15.2% 23.8% 4.20 -21.7%

Away win 21.3% 27.0% 3.70 -12.7%

Over 2.5 83.1% 76.9% 1.30 +8.0%

Over 3.5 66.9% 55.6% 1.80 +20.4%

BTTS 69.6% 75.2% 1.33 -7.4%

Home O1.5 77.3% 71.4% 1.40 +8.2%

Away O1.5 56.9% 48.8% 2.05 +16.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.6%

H 64% / xG 3.5-1.9 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.1%

#2 3–2 5.8%

#3 4–1 5.4%

#4 2–2 4.9%

#5 2–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulle3.5

Young Boys II1.9

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.1% · O3.5 PROB 66.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLE · PPG 1.67

YOUNG BOYS II · PPG 1.14

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.62 for Home, form 1.67 vs 1.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bulle (H) 63.5%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV +8.0%

Draw 15.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -21.7%

Young Boys II (A) 21.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -12.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulle face Young Boys II in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulle a 64% chance, the draw 15% and Young Boys II 21%, so Bulle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Bulle and 1.9 for Young Boys II (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulle are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.14 for Young Boys II. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.4%. This match finished 3-0.

Bulle vs Young Boys II Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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