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Brühl vs Biel-Bienne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 17:30

Brühl

PPG 2.37 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Biel-Bienne

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.4%0-22.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.7%1-17.9%1-25.5%1-32.5%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.6%2-19.2%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.1%3-17.1%3-24.9%3-32.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-17.1%4+-24.9%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 24.5% — — —

Over 2.5 64.9% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 3–1 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 1–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brühl2.3

Biel-Bienne1.4

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.9% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BRÜHL · PPG 2.37

BIEL-BIENNE · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brühl (H) 53.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Biel-Bienne (A) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brühl face Biel-Bienne in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brühl a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Biel-Bienne 25%, so Brühl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Brühl and 1.4 for Biel-Bienne (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brühl are averaging 2.37 points per game versus 1.73 for Biel-Bienne. This match finished 0-1.

Brühl vs Biel-Bienne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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