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Levanger vs Lørenskog Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Levanger

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWW

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lørenskog

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.0% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-15.2%0-22.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.6%1-110.2%1-25.4%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.1%3-16.5%3-23.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-15.0%4+-22.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% 67.6% 1.48 -17.3%

Draw 22.1% 22.7% 4.40 -1.7%

Away win 22.0% 19.2% 5.20 +8.6%

Over 2.5 62.0% 72.5% 1.38 -14.4%

Over 3.5 39.3% 51.3% 1.95 -23.4%

BTTS 59.9% 69.0% 1.45 -13.2%

Home O1.5 56.3% 74.1% 1.35 -24.0%

Away O1.5 32.6% 37.0% 2.70 -12.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.2%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.9%

H 56% / xG 2.0-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 1–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Levanger2.0

Lørenskog1.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LEVANGER · PPG 1.71

LØRENSKOG · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Levanger (H) 55.9%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -17.3%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -1.7%

Lørenskog (A) 22.0%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +8.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Levanger face Lørenskog in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levanger a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Lørenskog 22%, so Levanger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Levanger and 1.1 for Lørenskog (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levanger are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.38 for Lørenskog. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +2.2%. This match finished 5-0.

Levanger vs Lørenskog Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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