Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Rana vs Skeid

Rana vs Skeid Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 10:30

Rana

PPG 1.17 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Skeid

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.2% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.8%0-22.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.4%1-18.2%1-26.2%1-33.1%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.3%3-16.5%3-24.9%3-32.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-15.9%4+-24.4%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.0% 40.0% 2.50 +30.0%

Draw 22.0% 27.8% 3.60 -12.5%

Away win 25.9% 45.5% 2.20 -25.8%

Over 2.5 67.2% 74.1% 1.35 -9.3%

Over 3.5 44.0% 51.0% 1.96 -13.8%

BTTS 64.3% 73.5% 1.36 -12.6%

Home O1.5 62.3% 60.6% 1.65 +2.8%

Away O1.5 47.7% 52.6% 1.90 -9.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.3%

H 52% / xG 2.2-1.5 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 1–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rana2.2

Skeid1.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RANA · PPG 1.17

SKEID · PPG 0.43

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rana (H) 52.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +30.0%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -12.5%

Skeid (A) 25.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -25.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rana face Skeid in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rana a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Skeid 26%, so Rana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Rana and 1.5 for Skeid (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rana are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.43 for Skeid. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +8.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Rana vs Skeid Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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