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Lørenskog vs Eidsvold Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Lørenskog

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eidsvold

PPG 2.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-18.6%0-26.2%0-33.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.1%1-111.8%1-28.6%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.1%2-25.9%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.6%3-13.7%3-22.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.9% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 61.1% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.1%

A 35% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 0–0 5.9%

#5 0–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lørenskog1.4

Eidsvold1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LØRENSKOG · PPG 2.14

EIDSVOLD · PPG 2.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lørenskog (H) 39.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eidsvold (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lørenskog face Eidsvold in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lørenskog a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Eidsvold 35%, so Lørenskog are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lørenskog and 1.5 for Eidsvold (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lørenskog are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 2.29 for Eidsvold.

Lørenskog vs Eidsvold Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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