Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Follo vs Rana

Follo vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 11:00

Follo

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rana

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-16.3%0-25.6%0-33.3%0-4+2.2%1 1-05.6%1-19.9%1-28.7%1-35.1%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.4%2-17.7%2-26.8%2-34.0%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.3%3-14.0%3-23.6%3-32.1%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.2%4+-22.0%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 42.1% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 45.7% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.3%

A 42% / xG 1.6-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Follo1.6

Rana1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FOLLO · PPG 0.50

RANA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Follo (H) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rana (A) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Follo face Rana in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Follo a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Rana 42%, so Rana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Follo and 1.8 for Rana (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Follo are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Rana.

Follo vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions