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Skeid vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 13:00

Skeid

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Levanger

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-16.5%0-26.0%0-33.7%0-4+2.6%1 1-05.3%1-19.8%1-29.0%1-35.5%1-4+3.8%2 2-04.0%2-17.3%2-26.8%2-34.1%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.0%3-13.7%3-23.4%3-32.1%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.9%4+-21.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 42.1% — — —

Over 2.5 64.7% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 53.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.3%

A 42% / xG 1.5-1.8 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skeid1.5

Levanger1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SKEID · PPG 1.43

LEVANGER · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Skeid (H) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Levanger (A) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skeid face Levanger in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skeid a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Levanger 42%, so Levanger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Skeid and 1.8 for Levanger (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skeid are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 2.25 for Levanger.

Skeid vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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