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Stjørdals-Blink vs Hønefoss Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 13:30

Stjørdals-Blink

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hønefoss

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.3%0-25.8%0-34.2%0-4+3.8%1 1-03.7%1-18.1%1-28.9%1-36.5%1-4+5.9%2 2-02.8%2-16.2%2-26.8%2-35.0%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.5%3-13.2%3-23.5%3-32.5%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.7%4+-21.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 45.5% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 45.3% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 58.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.3%

A 46% / xG 1.5-2.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stjørdals-Blink1.5

Hønefoss2.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 45.3%

Form & verdict PPG

STJØRDALS-BLINK · PPG 1.14

HØNEFOSS · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.65 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Stjørdals-Blink (H) 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hønefoss (A) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stjørdals-Blink face Hønefoss in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stjørdals-Blink a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Hønefoss 46%, so Hønefoss are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Stjørdals-Blink and 2.2 for Hønefoss (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stjørdals-Blink are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.86 for Hønefoss.

Stjørdals-Blink vs Hønefoss Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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