Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Junkeren vs Stjørdals-Blink

Junkeren vs Stjørdals-Blink Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Junkeren

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stjørdals-Blink

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-15.1%0-23.9%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.2%1-19.5%1-27.3%1-33.8%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.9%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.6%3-15.5%3-24.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.0%4+-23.1%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% 35.7% 2.80 +21.5%

Draw 21.8% 26.3% 3.80 -10.3%

Away win 34.7% 47.6% 2.10 -27.1%

Over 2.5 65.1% 72.5% 1.38 -10.2%

Over 3.5 44.3% 51.3% 1.95 -13.6%

BTTS 63.1% 75.2% 1.33 -16.1%

Home O1.5 56.3% 54.1% 1.85 +4.2%

Away O1.5 47.9% 61.7% 1.62 -22.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.2%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.1%

H 43% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2✓ 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Junkeren1.9

Stjørdals-Blink1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.3%

Form & verdict PPG

JUNKEREN · PPG 2.00

STJØRDALS-BLINK · PPG 1.50

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Junkeren (H) 43.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +21.5%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -10.3%

Stjørdals-Blink (A) 34.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -27.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Junkeren face Stjørdals-Blink in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Junkeren a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Stjørdals-Blink 35%, so Junkeren are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Junkeren and 1.5 for Stjørdals-Blink (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Junkeren are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Stjørdals-Blink. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +26.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Junkeren vs Stjørdals-Blink Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions