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Rana vs Ull/Kisa Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 10:00

Rana

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Ull/Kisa

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLDL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.51 for Home, form 1.38 vs 0.38 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-10.8%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.5%1-13.1%1-22.0%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.8%2-15.9%2-23.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.9%3-17.4%3-24.6%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-014.9%4+-118.5%4+-211.5%4+-34.8%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.1% — — —

Draw 15.0% — — —

Away win 11.9% — — —

Over 2.5 76.6% — — —

Over 3.5 56.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.2%

Bet Hit 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.4%

#2 4–1 6.9%

#3 3–0 5.9%

#4 2–1✓ 5.9%

#5 4–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rana3.8

Ull/Kisa1.2

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.6% · O3.5 PROB 56.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RANA · PPG 1.38

ULL/KISA · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.51 for Home, form 1.38 vs 0.38 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Rana (H) 73.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ull/Kisa (A) 11.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rana face Ull/Kisa in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rana a 73% chance, the draw 15% and Ull/Kisa 12%, so Rana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Rana and 1.2 for Ull/Kisa (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rana are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.38 for Ull/Kisa. This match finished 2-1.

Rana vs Ull/Kisa Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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