Super League

MALAYSIA · 24 MATCHES TRACKED · 23 APR 2026 – 17 MAY 2026

▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE

SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 24 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

62.5%

1X2

15/24

70.8%

O/U 2.5

17/24

45.8%

BTTS

11/24

37.5%

Exact score

9/24

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

70.0%

Hit rate

14/20

1.44

Avg odds

-1.2%

ROI

-0.2u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=8 62.5% HIT · AVG 1.51 · -7.8% ROI

BTTS · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.45 · -28.5% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.26 · -9.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=4 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.47 · +47.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+9.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

100%

Hit

+40.3%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

64%

Hit

-4.5%

ROI

Match log

24 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 11 HIT · 4 MISS

17 MAY Selangor vs PDRM Over 2.5 6–0 HIT 17 MAY Kuching vs Kuala Lumpur Home -21% 1–0 HIT 16 MAY Negeri Sembilan vs Kelantan DN Home 2–1 HIT 16 MAY Imigresen vs Melaka Over 2.5 -8% 1–1 MISS 15 MAY Pulau Pinang vs DPMM FC Over 2.5 -6% 2–1 HIT 15 MAY Sabah vs Terengganu Over 2.5 -6% 0–1 MISS 10 MAY Kuala Lumpur vs Negeri Sembilan Over 2.5 -1% 2–2 HIT 10 MAY Kelantan DN vs Johor Darul Away 1–14 HIT 9 MAY DPMM FC vs Sabah BTTS -14% 0–1 MISS 9 MAY Melaka vs Kuching Away -15% 1–3 HIT 8 MAY Terengganu vs Imigresen BTTS -16% 1–3 HIT 3 MAY Imigresen vs DPMM FC Over 2.5 +2% 3–1 HIT 3 MAY Negeri Sembilan vs Melaka Home 0–0 MISS 2 MAY Sabah vs PDRM Over 2.5 -19% 5–1 HIT 2 MAY Johor Darul vs Kuala Lumpur Home -21% 7–0 HIT