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Terengganu vs Selangor Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 13:00

Terengganu

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

WL ···

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Selangor

PPG 1.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-17.3%0-26.3%0-33.6%0-4+2.3%1 1-06.1%1-110.5%1-29.1%1-35.2%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.4%2-17.5%2-26.5%2-33.7%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.1%3-13.6%3-23.1%3-31.8%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 29.4% 3.40 +18.7%

Draw 23.7% 27.0% 3.70 -7.4%

Away win 41.5% 55.6% 1.80 -25.3%

Over 2.5 54.8% 60.6% 1.65 -9.6%

Over 3.5 36.7% 40.7% 2.46 -9.7%

BTTS 56.6% 63.7% 1.57 -11.1%

Home O1.5 40.1% 37.3% 2.68 +7.5%

Away O1.5 47.9% 57.8% 1.73 -17.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob56.6%

A 42% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 0–2 6.3%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Terengganu1.4

Selangor1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.8% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TERENGGANU · PPG 1.52

SELANGOR · PPG 1.98

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Terengganu (H) 34.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +18.7%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -7.4%

Selangor (A) 41.5%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -25.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Terengganu face Selangor in Malaysia - Super League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Terengganu a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Selangor 42%, so Selangor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Terengganu and 1.7 for Selangor (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Terengganu are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.98 for Selangor. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +16.2%. This match finished 0-3.

Terengganu vs Selangor Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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