Today / Malaysia - Super League / Pulau Pinang vs DPMM FC

Pulau Pinang vs DPMM FC Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 26 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 09:00

Pulau Pinang

PPG 0.91 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

DPMM FC

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.7%0-23.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-07.5%1-110.3%1-27.1%1-33.2%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.8%2-19.3%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.1%3-15.6%3-23.9%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.8%4+-22.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% 61.7% 1.62 -22.2%

Draw 25.7% 26.3% 3.80 -1.4%

Away win 26.3% 21.7% 4.60 +12.6%

Over 2.5 60.1% 63.7% 1.57 -5.6%

Over 3.5 39.4% 41.7% 2.40 -5.4%

BTTS 58.6% 64.5% 1.55 -9.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.6%

H 48% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1✓ 9.3%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pulau Pinang1.8

DPMM FC1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PULAU PINANG · PPG 0.91

DPMM FC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.91), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Pulau Pinang (H) 48.0%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -22.2%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -1.4%

DPMM FC (A) 26.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +12.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pulau Pinang face DPMM FC in Malaysia - Super League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pulau Pinang a 48% chance, the draw 26% and DPMM FC 26%, so Pulau Pinang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Pulau Pinang and 1.4 for DPMM FC (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pulau Pinang are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.00 for DPMM FC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Pulau Pinang vs DPMM FC Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions