Today / Malaysia - Super League / Negeri Sembilan vs Kelantan DN

Negeri Sembilan vs Kelantan DN Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:00

Negeri Sembilan

PPG 1.36 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Kelantan DN

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.36) > Away POOR (0.64)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-12.6%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.6%1-16.9%1-22.8%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.2%2-19.0%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.8%3-17.8%3-23.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-012.0%4+-19.6%4+-23.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.1% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 14.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 44.4% — — —

BTTS 51.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.7%

H 64% / xG 2.6-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.2%

#2 3–0 9.8%

#3 2–1✓ 9.0%

#4 1–1 6.9%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Negeri Sembilan2.6

Kelantan DN0.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.4%

Form & verdict PPG

NEGERI SEMBILAN · PPG 1.36

KELANTAN DN · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.36) > Away POOR (0.64)

Win probability 1X2

Negeri Sembilan (H) 64.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kelantan DN (A) 14.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Negeri Sembilan face Kelantan DN in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Negeri Sembilan a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Kelantan DN 15%, so Negeri Sembilan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Negeri Sembilan and 0.8 for Kelantan DN (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Negeri Sembilan are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.64 for Kelantan DN. This match finished 2-1.

Negeri Sembilan vs Kelantan DN Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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