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Selangor vs PDRM Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:15

Selangor

PPG 2.36 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

PDRM

PPG 0.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-10.4%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.1%1-11.6%1-20.4%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-06.9%2-13.6%2-20.9%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.3%3-15.3%3-21.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-038.8%4+-120.0%4+-25.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.6% — — —

Draw 15.7% — — —

Away win 6.7% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 73.0% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)4.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.6%

H 78% / xG 4.4-0.5 / O2.5 79% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 11.4%

#2 3–0 10.3%

#3 5–0 10.1%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 4–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Selangor4.4

PDRM0.5

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 73.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SELANGOR · PPG 2.36

PDRM · PPG 0.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.36), Away POOR (0.36) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Selangor (H) 77.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PDRM (A) 6.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Selangor face PDRM in Malaysia - Super League on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Selangor a 78% chance, the draw 16% and PDRM 7%, so Selangor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.4 for Selangor and 0.5 for PDRM (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Selangor are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 0.36 for PDRM. This match finished 6-0.

Selangor vs PDRM Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions