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Kuching vs Kuala Lumpur Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:15

Kuching

PPG 2.55 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Kuala Lumpur

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-16.5%0-22.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.8%1-111.1%1-24.5%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.8%2-19.5%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.7%3-15.4%3-22.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-13.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% 66.7% 1.50 -21.4%

Draw 25.8% 25.0% 4.00 +1.9%

Away win 21.8% 18.5% 5.40 +10.6%

Over 2.5 47.6% 60.6% 1.65 -21.5%

Over 3.5 24.7% 38.5% 2.60 -21.5%

BTTS 51.6% 58.8% 1.70 -12.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 52% / xG 1.7-0.8 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–0✓ 13.8%

#3 2–0 11.8%

#4 0–0 8.0%

#5 2–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kuching1.7

Kuala Lumpur0.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KUCHING · PPG 2.55

KUALA LUMPUR · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.55) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kuching (H) 52.4%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -21.4%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +1.9%

Kuala Lumpur (A) 21.8%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV +10.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kuching face Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia - Super League on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kuching a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Kuala Lumpur 22%, so Kuching are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kuching and 0.8 for Kuala Lumpur (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kuching are averaging 2.55 points per game versus 2.00 for Kuala Lumpur. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Kuching vs Kuala Lumpur Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions