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Kuala Lumpur vs Negeri Sembilan Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:15

Kuala Lumpur

PPG 1.82 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Negeri Sembilan

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-15.4%0-23.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.7%1-110.1%1-26.7%1-32.9%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.5%3-15.9%3-23.9%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.3%4+-22.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 63.7% 1.57 -22.6%

Draw 25.6% 26.0% 3.85 -0.9%

Away win 25.1% 20.0% 5.00 +15.3%

Over 2.5 60.2% 60.6% 1.65 -0.7%

Over 3.5 39.7% 38.5% 2.60 +3.2%

BTTS 58.8% 60.6% 1.65 -3.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 2–2✓ 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kuala Lumpur1.9

Negeri Sembilan1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KUALA LUMPUR · PPG 1.82

NEGERI SEMBILAN · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.82) vs P(Home)=49.3%

Win probability 1X2

Kuala Lumpur (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -22.6%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -0.9%

Negeri Sembilan (A) 25.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kuala Lumpur face Negeri Sembilan in Malaysia - Super League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kuala Lumpur a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Negeri Sembilan 25%, so Kuala Lumpur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Kuala Lumpur and 1.3 for Negeri Sembilan (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kuala Lumpur are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 0.91 for Negeri Sembilan. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.3%. This match finished 2-2.

Kuala Lumpur vs Negeri Sembilan Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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