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Sabah vs Terengganu Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 26 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 11:30

Sabah

PPG 0.91 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Terengganu

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-17.4%0-27.2%0-34.6%0-4+3.5%1 1-05.0%1-19.8%1-29.5%1-36.2%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.3%2-16.5%2-26.3%2-34.1%2-4+3.1%3 3-01.5%3-12.9%3-22.8%3-31.8%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.3% 38.5% 2.60 -14.3%

Draw 26.0% 29.0% 3.45 -6.2%

Away win 44.6% 42.6% 2.35 +4.8%

Over 2.5 60.1% 63.7% 1.57 -5.6%

Over 3.5 41.4% 41.7% 2.40 -0.6%

BTTS 58.8% 69.0% 1.45 -14.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob58.8%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sabah1.3

Terengganu1.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SABAH · PPG 0.91

TERENGGANU · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.82) vs Home POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

Sabah (H) 29.3%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -14.3%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -6.2%

Terengganu (A) 44.6%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV +4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sabah face Terengganu in Malaysia - Super League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sabah a 29% chance, the draw 26% and Terengganu 45%, so Terengganu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sabah and 1.9 for Terengganu (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sabah are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.82 for Terengganu. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Sabah vs Terengganu Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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