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Al Wihdat vs Al Ahli Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 27 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 14:00

Al Wihdat

PPG 2.23 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Al Ahli

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=53.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-15.4%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.2%1-110.0%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.0%2-19.1%2-23.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.6%3-15.6%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-13.9%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.5% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 20.0% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 24.0% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 34.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.2%

H 54% / xG 1.8-0.7 / O2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 14.0%

#2 1–0 15.2%

#3 1–1 10.0%

#4 0–0 8.3%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wihdat1.8

Al Ahli0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WIHDAT · PPG 2.23

AL AHLI · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=53.5%

Win probability 1X2

Al Wihdat (H) 53.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Ahli (A) 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wihdat face Al Ahli in Jordan - League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wihdat a 54% chance, the draw 27% and Al Ahli 20%, so Al Wihdat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Al Wihdat and 0.7 for Al Ahli (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wihdat are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.31 for Al Ahli. This match finished 2-0.

Al Wihdat vs Al Ahli Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jordan - League Predictions