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Al Wihdat vs Al Jazeera Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

Al Wihdat

PPG 2.33 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Al Jazeera

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 77.0% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-13.3%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.8%1-17.2%1-21.6%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.1%2-17.8%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.3%3-15.6%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-010.9%4+-15.0%4+-21.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.0% 76.9% 1.30 +0.1%

Draw 16.5% 23.1% 4.33 -28.5%

Away win 6.5% 10.4% 9.60 -37.6%

Over 2.5 48.5% 56.5% 1.77 -14.2%

Over 3.5 26.7% 33.9% 2.95 -21.2%

BTTS 32.3% 47.6% 2.10 -32.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 34.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob32.3%

H 77% / xG 2.2-0.5 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.1%

#2 1–0 15.8%

#3 3–0 12.3%

#4 2–1 7.8%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wihdat2.2

Al Jazeera0.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WIHDAT · PPG 2.33

AL JAZEERA · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away AVERAGE (1.42) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Al Wihdat (H) 77.0%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV +0.1%

Draw 16.5%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -28.5%

Al Jazeera (A) 6.5%

ODDS 9.60 · IMPLIED 10.4% EV -37.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wihdat face Al Jazeera in Jordan - League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wihdat a 77% chance, the draw 17% and Al Jazeera 7%, so Al Wihdat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Al Wihdat and 0.5 for Al Jazeera (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wihdat are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.42 for Al Jazeera. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +0.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Al Wihdat vs Al Jazeera Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

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