Today / Jordan - League / Al Ramtha vs Al Buqaa

Al Ramtha vs Al Buqaa Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 27 ·Thursday, May 7, 2026, 16:45

Al Ramtha

PPG 1.77 · HOME

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Al Buqaa

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6% — a clear edge.

+12.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-13.5%0-21.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.6%1-18.2%1-24.4%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.9%2-19.6%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.0%3-17.6%3-24.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-17.8%4+-24.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 54.1% 1.85 -1.9%

Draw 24.5% 28.6% 3.50 -8.6%

Away win 22.4% 27.8% 3.60 -11.6%

Over 2.5 61.7% 54.6% 1.83 +12.9%

Over 3.5 45.0% 32.3% 3.10 +39.5%

BTTS 58.8% 58.8% 1.70 -0.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 34.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.8%

H 53% / xG 2.4-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.6%

#2 1–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 3–1 7.6%

#5 3–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Ramtha2.4

Al Buqaa1.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AL RAMTHA · PPG 1.77

AL BUQAA · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.77) vs P(Home)=53.0%

Win probability 1X2

Al Ramtha (H) 53.0%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -1.9%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -8.6%

Al Buqaa (A) 22.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -11.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Ramtha face Al Buqaa in Jordan - League on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ramtha a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Al Buqaa 22%, so Al Ramtha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Al Ramtha and 1.1 for Al Buqaa (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ramtha are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 0.92 for Al Buqaa. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +39.5%. This match finished 5-2.

Al Ramtha vs Al Buqaa Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jordan - League Predictions