Today / Jordan - League / Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Hussein

Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Hussein Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 16:00

Sama Al Sarhan

PPG 0.23 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Hussein

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 77.5% vs bookmaker-implied 91.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-19.7%0-212.7%0-311.0%0-4+13.3%1 1-02.6%1-16.7%1-28.7%1-37.5%1-4+9.1%2 2-00.9%2-12.3%2-23.0%2-32.6%2-4+3.1%3 3-00.2%3-10.5%3-20.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 6.5% 3.4% 29.00 +88.5%

Draw 16.0% 15.2% 6.60 +5.6%

Away win 77.5% 91.7% 1.09 -15.5%

Over 2.5 63.8% 71.4% 1.40 -10.7%

Over 3.5 41.7% 50.0% 2.00 -16.6%

BTTS 46.9% 37.0% 2.70 +26.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 34.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob46.9%

A 78% / xG 0.7-2.6 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 12.7%

#2 0–3 11.0%

#3 0–1 9.7%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 1–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sama Al Sarhan0.7

Al Hussein2.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 41.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SAMA AL SARHAN · PPG 0.23

AL HUSSEIN · PPG 1.85

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.85) vs Home POOR (0.23)

Win probability 1X2

Sama Al Sarhan (H) 6.5%

ODDS 29.00 · IMPLIED 3.4% EV +88.5%

Draw 16.0%

ODDS 6.60 · IMPLIED 15.2% EV +5.6%

Al Hussein (A) 77.5%

ODDS 1.09 · IMPLIED 91.7% EV -15.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sama Al Sarhan face Al Hussein in Jordan - League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sama Al Sarhan a 7% chance, the draw 16% and Al Hussein 78%, so Al Hussein are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sama Al Sarhan and 2.6 for Al Hussein (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sama Al Sarhan are averaging 0.23 points per game versus 1.85 for Al Hussein. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +88.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Hussein Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jordan - League Predictions