Today / Jordan - League / Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Hussein

Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Hussein Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 18 ·Thursday, April 23, 2026, 16:00

Sama Al Sarhan

PPG 0.25 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Hussein

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 94.6% vs bookmaker-implied 90.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-16.0%0-211.4%0-314.5%0-4+37.9%1 1-00.5%1-12.0%1-23.8%1-34.9%1-4+12.8%2 2-00.1%2-10.3%2-20.7%2-30.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-00.0%3-10.0%3-20.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 1.1% 6.7% 15.00 -83.5%

Draw 4.3% 12.5% 8.00 -65.6%

Away win 94.6% 90.1% 1.11 +5.0%

Over 2.5 78.5% — — —

Over 3.5 59.8% — — —

BTTS 28.1% 41.7% 2.40 -32.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 34.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.3 xG (away)3.8 BTTS prob28.1%

A 95% / xG 0.3-3.8 / O2.5 78% / NoBTTS 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 14.5%

#2 0–4✓ 13.9%

#3 0–2 11.4%

#4 0–5 10.6%

#5 0–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sama Al Sarhan0.3

Al Hussein3.8

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.5% · O3.5 PROB 59.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SAMA AL SARHAN · PPG 0.25

AL HUSSEIN · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.82) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Sama Al Sarhan (H) 1.1%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV -83.5%

Draw 4.3%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV -65.6%

Al Hussein (A) 94.6%

ODDS 1.11 · IMPLIED 90.1% EV +5.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sama Al Sarhan face Al Hussein in Jordan - League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sama Al Sarhan a 1% chance, the draw 4% and Al Hussein 95%, so Al Hussein are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Sama Al Sarhan and 3.8 for Al Hussein (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sama Al Sarhan are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.82 for Al Hussein. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.0%. This match finished 0-4.

Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Hussein Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jordan - League Predictions