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Al Jazeera vs Shabab Al Ordon Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 26 ·Monday, May 4, 2026, 16:00

Al Jazeera

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Shabab Al Ordon

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-110.1%0-25.4%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.3%1-113.0%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.9%2-18.4%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.4%3-13.6%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.8% 40.8% 2.45 -2.5%

Draw 31.7% 32.3% 3.10 -1.7%

Away win 28.5% 37.0% 2.70 -23.1%

Over 2.5 41.7% 48.8% 2.05 -14.5%

Over 3.5 21.1% 27.8% 3.60 -24.0%

BTTS 49.3% 57.1% 1.75 -13.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 34.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.3%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 1–0 12.3%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jazeera1.3

Shabab Al Ordon1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAZEERA · PPG 1.00

SHABAB AL ORDON · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Al Jazeera (H) 39.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -2.5%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -1.7%

Shabab Al Ordon (A) 28.5%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -23.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jazeera face Shabab Al Ordon in Jordan - League on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jazeera a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Shabab Al Ordon 28%, so Al Jazeera are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Jazeera and 1.1 for Shabab Al Ordon (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jazeera are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.83 for Shabab Al Ordon. This match finished 1-3.

Al Jazeera vs Shabab Al Ordon Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jordan - League Predictions