Today / Jordan - League / Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Hussein

Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Hussein Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 16:30

Shabab Al Ordon logo
Shabab Al Ordon
PPG 1.00 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Al Hussein logo
Al Hussein
PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 71.9% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-112.0%0-216.8%0-315.8%0-4+22.1%1 1-01.5%1-14.1%1-25.8%1-35.4%1-4+7.6%2 2-00.2%2-10.7%2-21.0%2-30.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 4.5% 7.7% 13.00 -41.5%
Draw 23.6% 20.8% 4.80 +13.3%
Away win 71.9% 82.0% 1.22 -12.3%
Over 2.5 59.0% 63.7% 1.57 -7.4%
Over 3.5 38.8% 42.0% 2.38 -7.7%
BTTS 39.6% 48.8% 2.05 -18.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 55%
BTTS 70%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 34.6%
Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)0.3 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob39.6%

A 72% / xG 0.3-2.8 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 16.8%
#2 0–3 15.8%
#3 0–1 12.0%
#4 0–4 11.1%
#5 0–5 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shabab Al Ordon0.3
Al Hussein2.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SHABAB AL ORDON · PPG 1.00

AL HUSSEIN · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.92) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Shabab Al Ordon (H) 4.5%
ODDS 13.00 · IMPLIED 7.7% EV -41.5%
Draw 23.6%
ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +13.3%
Al Hussein (A) 71.9%
ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -12.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Shabab Al Ordon face Al Hussein in Jordan - League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shabab Al Ordon a 5% chance, the draw 24% and Al Hussein 72%, so Al Hussein are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Shabab Al Ordon and 2.8 for Al Hussein (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shabab Al Ordon are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.92 for Al Hussein. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.3%. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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