Today / Jordan - League / Al Jazeera vs Al Salt

Al Jazeera vs Al Salt Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 27 ·Thursday, May 7, 2026, 14:00

Al Jazeera logo
Al Jazeera
PPG 0.92 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Al Salt logo
Al Salt
PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-110.3%0-28.7%0-34.9%0-4+3.0%1 1-06.7%1-111.4%1-29.6%1-35.4%1-4+3.4%2 2-03.7%2-16.3%2-25.3%2-33.0%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.4%3-12.3%3-22.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.6% 35.7% 2.80 -13.6%
Draw 27.0% 31.3% 3.20 -8.2%
Away win 45.4% 42.9% 2.33 +5.8%
Over 2.5 53.1% 51.3% 1.95 +3.5%
Over 3.5 30.8% 29.0% 3.45 +6.3%
BTTS 54.6% 57.8% 1.73 -5.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 55%
BTTS 70%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 34.6%
Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob54.6%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%
#2 1–2 9.6%
#3 0–2 8.7%
#4 0–1 10.3%
#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jazeera1.1
Al Salt1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAZEERA · PPG 0.92

AL SALT · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.54) vs Home POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Al Jazeera (H) 27.6%
ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -13.6%
Draw 27.0%
ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.2%
Al Salt (A) 45.4%
ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jazeera face Al Salt in Jordan - League on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jazeera a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Al Salt 45%, so Al Salt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al Jazeera and 1.7 for Al Salt (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jazeera are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 1.54 for Al Salt. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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