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Shabab Al Ordon vs Sama Al Sarhan Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 27 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 14:00

Shabab Al Ordon

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Sama Al Sarhan

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-19.3%0-23.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.5%1-112.4%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.1%2-18.3%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.0%3-13.7%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 24.5% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 16.0% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 34.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.2%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.5%

#2 1–1 12.4%

#3 0–0 12.3%

#4 2–0✓ 11.1%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shabab Al Ordon1.3

Sama Al Sarhan0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SHABAB AL ORDON · PPG 1.00

SAMA AL SARHAN · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Shabab Al Ordon (H) 48.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sama Al Sarhan (A) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shabab Al Ordon face Sama Al Sarhan in Jordan - League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shabab Al Ordon a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Sama Al Sarhan 25%, so Shabab Al Ordon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Shabab Al Ordon and 0.8 for Sama Al Sarhan (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shabab Al Ordon are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.25 for Sama Al Sarhan. This match finished 2-0.

Shabab Al Ordon vs Sama Al Sarhan Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

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