Al Ahli vs Al Buqaa Prediction— Jordan - League

Jordan - League Regular Season - 26 Monday, May 4, 2026 16:00

Al Ahli PPG 0.33

2-1 HIT CS2

Al Buqaa PPG 1.00

Over3.5· +33.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Ahli face Al Buqaa in Jordan - League on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ahli a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Al Buqaa 36%, so Al Ahli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Ahli and 1.6 for Al Buqaa (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ahli are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Al Buqaa. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.3%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -17.9%

Draw 26.2%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -16.2%

Away 36.4%

Odds: 2.80 EV: +1.9%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.2% Odds: 1.95 +23.2%

Over 3.5 41.1% Odds: 3.25 +33.6%

BTTS 66.2% Odds: 1.73 +14.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Ahli

1.64

Al Buqaa

1.62

Model SuggestionBTTS +14.5% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+33.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 48.1%

Bet Hit 86% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.33)