2. Deild

ICELAND · 30 MATCHES TRACKED · 14 JUN 2026 – 29 JUL 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 23 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

47.8%

1X2

11/23

78.3%

O/U 2.5

18/23

78.3%

BTTS

18/23

30.4%

Exact score

7/23

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

66.7%

Hit rate

4/6

1.53

Avg odds

-2.0%

ROI

-0.1u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.26 · -37.5% ROI

AWAY O1.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.62 · +62.0% ROI

HOME O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.39 · +39.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.00 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+39.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

50%

Hit

-37.5%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

67%

Hit

+8.0%

ROI

Match log

23 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

July 2026 // 10 PICKS · 8 HIT · 2 MISS

25 JUL Fjardabyggd / Leiknir vs Thróttur Vogar HO1.5 4–2 HIT 25 JUL Dalvík / Reynir vs Vikingur Olafsiik Home +13% 0–1 MISS 25 JUL Kormákur / Hvöt vs Selfoss Over 2.5 -9% 2–5 HIT 24 JUL Fjolnir vs Haukar Over 2.5 -7% 2–1 HIT 24 JUL Hvíti riddarinn vs Kári Over 2.5 1–3 HIT 4 JUL Fjolnir vs Kormakur/Hvot Over 2.5 -6% 1–1 MISS 4 JUL Magni vs Throttur Vogar Over 2.5 4–3 HIT 3 JUL Hviti Riddarinn vs Dalvik.Reynir Over 2.5 3–3 HIT 3 JUL KFG vs Selfoss Over 2.5 -5% 2–3 HIT 1 JUL Haukar vs Kari Over 2.5 -8% 4–1 HIT

June 2026 // 5 PICKS · 2 HIT · 3 MISS

27 JUN V. Olafsvik vs KFG HO1.5 1–0 MISS 27 JUN Kari vs Magni Over 2.5 1–1 MISS 26 JUN Throttur Vogar vs Fjolnir Over 2.5 -7% 3–2 HIT 26 JUN Selfoss vs Haukar AO1.5 2–2 HIT 20 JUN Magni vs Selfoss AO1.5 4–1 MISS